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I don't know the value.
Obviously Fedex and UPS have better tracking and proof-of-delivery systems.
Actually you have a chance. One of the options when completing the Paypal payment is for the BUYER to purchase a form of insurance. If he paid for Paypal insurance, he should be able to submit a claim to Paypal. If he didn't, it should be clear that he did have a choice and did decline the additional protection.
eBay has a dispute resolution / arbitration service. It's sort of bogus but once in awhile it might help you out.
G'luck,
- CarlD
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